Line: Bengals -1.0

Pick: Bengals

Bet: No Bet

Despite coming away with the win against the Buccs, the 49ers did not look good at all. Jimmy G had a pick 6 of his own and really didn’t do a whole lot to deserve the win. The Bengals on the other hand looked a lot better than people expected in taking the Seahawks down to the wire. Look for the Bengals to take this one and the 49ers offensive struggles to continue.

Line: Packers -3.0

Pick: Vikings

Bet: $85 (1.6% of $5305 bankroll)

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Line: Titans -3.0

Pick: Titans

Bet: No Bet

This is actually a great matchup and should be a very hard fought game. The Colts and Titans looked great in Week 1 despite the Colts losing in OT to the Chargers (a tough opponent). We loved seeing the Titans put the Browns back in their place after everyone was riding them so hard all offseason. Our model is right in line with this line giving the slightest of edges to the Titans.

Line: Dolphins +18.5

Pick: Dolphins

Bet: $637 (12% of $5305 bankroll)

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Line: Giants +1.5

Pick: Giants

Bet: No Bet

We can pretty much guarantee we won’t be catching a minute of this game. Neither team looked great in Week 1. The Bills came away with a victory but it felt more like the Jets just Jetted themselves out of that win. We give the edge to the Giants but don’t feel great about either side of this bet here.

Line: Steelers -4.0

Pick: Seahawks

Bet: No Bet

This is another game where the line seems right on target. Both teams should be playoff contenders but they had extremely underwhelming starts to their season. It’s a tough call and will likely be a close game. Our model takes the points here with the Seahawks by the slimmest of margins.

Line: Redskins +6.0

Pick: Redskins

Bet: $85 (1.6% of $5305 bankroll)

We still think the Redskins are being undervalued in their lines so far. They proved it in Week 1 by getting out to a fast start against the Eagles and playing them tough in Philadelphia. We think they will hold their own against Dallas as well. If the line swings a little more in their favor, we will be putting some money on them. For now it’s just a strong pick for the Redskins in this game.

Update: This line moved from an open of 4.5 to 6 where it is now. At the 6 point line, we ended up pulling the trigger and making a bet on the Redskins so we flipped this game from a No Bet to a Sharp Bet late in the week.

Line: Ravens -13.0

Pick: Cardinals

Bet: $85 (1.6% of $5305 bankroll)

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Line: Texans -9.0

Pick: Jaguars

Bet: No Bet

The Jaguars defense got shredded in Week 1 but let’s not forget how good that Chiefs offense is. We think they will bounce back with a good effort against the Texans and their continuously porous offensive line. Watson could get sacked 12 times in this game. The Texans started off with a heartbreaking loss after a decent effort against the Saints. We expect (and hope) that they come out on top here in a close battle but the 9 points is just too high. Gardner Minshew actually looked like a solid QB so he should be enough to keep the Jags in this game and cover the spread.

Line: Raiders +8.0

Pick: Raiders

Bet: No Bet

Now the Raiders were able to put together a nice performance against what should have been a tough Broncos D. This game is sure to be a shootout though, and we’re thinking the Raiders get the last score to cover the 8 points and lose by a touchdown.

Line: Broncos +1.5

Pick: Bears

Bet: No Bet

When we were looking at the lines on Monday of this week before the Broncos played, we were loving the Bears getting 1 point on the road here. We didn’t want to run this site showcasing the ability to get in on lines early that most people don’t have time for or miss out on. We wanted to prove that it is possible to still rack up a winning record on lines that have already settle into place. Our goal is to make our bets on Wednesday each week which means we won’t be able to cherry pick to most off base early lines of the week. The downside to that is a line like this one where we liked the Bears even before seeing the Broncos play on Monday night. The Broncos put up a stink bomb and here we are. We still like the Bears even at this line but it’s out of our betting range now.

Line: Rams -3.0

Pick: Rams

Bet: No Bet

This is a great Week 2 matchup and Vegas has the teams very evenly matched with the Rams getting the 3 points due to home field advantage. We agree that this should be an evenly matched game but would rather side with the Rams for this one. Should be a fun one to watch even without money on the line.

Line: Falcons +1.5

Pick: Falcons

Bet: No Bet

The Falcons laid a stink bomb in Week 1 and the Eagles were heading in the same direction. The Eagles turned it around while the Falcons played dead. The Falcons are such a tricky team to bet on - it seems like it’s impossible to tell what team will show up on a week to week basis. As a slight underdog at home, we give the Falcons a tiny edge but no way would we be willing to bet anything on that team at this point.

Line: Jets +6.5

Pick: Jets

Bet: $85 (1.6% of $5305 bankroll)

The Jets had a devastating week 1 loss in their game against Buffalo. The Jets are certainly capable of losing in a myriad of ways as they proved once again on Sunday. But the Browns also proved that they might be the same old team from past years despite the flashy position players. We like the Jets as home underdogs here to hopefully win or lose by less than a FG against a confused Browns squad.

Update: This is the 2nd game of the week that a line move caused us to put some more money in play. Yes - Sam Darnold is out with mono, but is Sam Darnold really that good in the first place? The line moved from 3 to 6.5 points mostly on the news that Darnold is out and Siemian is in. Siemian had some decent games as a Bronco and we don’t think there is much of dropoff at QB here to justify the 3.5 point move. So we are jumping on the Jets and hoping they can continue causing problems for the Cleveland Browns.